Date: Mar 31, 2011
Source: TIME
The Syrian President's Speech: Surprise! There's No Surprise

By RANIA ABOUZEID

It's not as if President Bashar al-Assad didn't have time to go through a few revisions of his much anticipated, much delayed speech before he finally delivered it to Syria's pliant parliamentarians on Wednesday. It fell well short of the expectations of many, but the MPs gushed over their 45-year-old leader, rising to their feet several times to cheer and chant "with our souls and with our blood we will sacrifice for you Bashar!" and "God, Syria, Bashar — only!" At least a dozen stood to shout their support during his speech, or spout sycophantic poetry — though some of the TV shots seemed to have been set up to capture these ostensibly spontaneous events before they happened.


Visibly nervous at first, (his first words were "What is more difficult than clarifying this situation?") Assad quickly eased into a 45-minute speech, his first public comments since deadly unrest exploded onto the streets of several cities almost two weeks ago. His vice president Farouk al-Sharaa said on Monday that the speech would contain decisions that would "please the people."


They must have been edited out of the final version, because on Wednesday Assad did not make any new announcements, beyond blaming "foreign conspirators" for playing a role in the country's unrest. He also stressed that his regime would not fall "like a domino" that had toppled rulers in Egypt and Tunisia because, among other reasons, his pro-Palestinian foreign policy was in line with his people's views, unlike the pro-Israeli leanings of Hosni Mubarak and Zine El Abidine Ben Ali.


Acknowledging that the country faced "a test of our unity," he warned of attempts to sow sectarian strife in secular Syria's patchwork ethnic and religious society, and blamed satellite television channels for broadcasting "lies, lies and lies that they eventually believe is the truth."


Just minutes after Assad descended from the ornate wooden podium in Damascus' elegant parliament, The Syrian Revolution 2011 Facebook page, which has garnered more than 97,000 followers, was urging Syrian youths to demonstrate. "Is this the speech we were promised?" it said. "I swear to God, it's scandalous that somebody like this rules us. To the streets shabab [youth] of Syria!"


The President was widely expected to at the very least lift Syria's decades-old emergency law, something his adviser Buthaina Shaaban said last Thursday was in the works. Although he briefly alluded to Shaaban's laundry list of proposed reforms, which included a commitment to transform Syria from a one-party state ruled by the Ba'ath into a multi-party democracy, he did not elaborate on them. "There will be some people on satellite channels who will say 'this is not enough,'" chuckled the freshly clean-shaven Assad, who usually sports a thin moustache. "But I want to tell them, we are not going to destroy our nation. I think it's better for us to give the Syrian people sound decisions rather than quick decisions."


The president used a fair chunk of his address to portray himself as a reformer. However, he did not indicate that he was stymied by members of the old guard of his late father and predecessor Hafez al-Assad — as has been the presumption. Rather, it was regional developments that had gotten in his way, including the 2003 Iraq war, the 2006 Lebanon war, and the fallout from 9/11 on the Muslim and Arab world. "It's not that anybody around me is against reform," he said, "we've just been late." The country's priorities changed to security and stability, he said, rather than greater freedoms. "We can delay the announcement of the formation of a political party but not a meal that a child needs to eat," he said to applause. "It was an issue of priorities."


He was keen to stress that the recent talk of reforms was not a response to the wave of unrest that has already toppled two Arab regimes, and threatens several others — including his own. Many of the changes had already been drafted but not discussed in the parliament, due to more pressing economic and foreign policy concerns, he said. "Staying without reforms is destructive to the country," Assad said. "The challenge is what sort of reform."


The truth, according to Ammar Abdulhamid, a prominent U.S-based Syrian dissident, is that the president doesn't really want reform, and will continue stalling it. "I'm very happy," Abdulhamid said after hearing the speech. "What [Assad] just did is he made our case to the Syrian people that no reforms can be expected, that he's incapable of reform. He lost supporters, he galvanized the people in the middle and I really think the protests right now will spread more and more."


The protests had kicked off in the southern Syrian city of Dara'a, which has since borne the brunt of the repression. According to Human Rights Watch, more than 60 people have been killed in the Dara'a province alone. Assad said he mourned the loss of life, because "the blood spilled was Syrian. It is our blood, the victims are our brothers, and their parents are our parents."


He promised a quick investigation into the killings and to hold those responsible accountable. He absolved the people of the city, claiming they played no role in the uprising and were "duped" into taking to the streets. "The people of Dara'a are the people of patriotism and the people of pan-Arab nationalism," Assad said. "Dara'a is a frontline region against the Israeli enemy. It is impossible for a person to, at the same time, defend the nation and then try to harm it!" In response, a lawmaker on the floor shouted, "Dara'a is with you for eternity!"


It's unclear if Assad's conciliatory gesture will quell the seething streets of the southern city. Abdulhamid says he fears Assad's scant attention to sweeping changes suggests that he may resort to violence to stem dissent. "I think internally, within the [Assad] family, a decision is made for confrontation, in that they didn't even feel or realize or think it's not the protesters they should appeal to, because they won't be appealed to anyway, but at least their support base should have been firmed up, they wanted to see Bashar as a reformer, as a person capable of rising up to the challenge, as a person able to deliver to the country something."


The emerging Syrian opposition is calling for large nationwide rallies on Friday, following afternoon prayers. Assad has played his hand. On Friday, the people will likely play theirs.